5 key factors driven the market down

 Both key indices had clocked modest gains in the previous session on Tuesday. However, they resumed their downward march on Thursday on lingering concerns over weak earnings, geopolitical tensions, and stretched valuation. The US indictment of Adani Group Chairman Gautam Adani and other senior executives on bribery charges dealt a fresh blow to sentiment.

Let’s take a look at the key factors behind the market selloff.

1.⁠ ⁠The Adani saga

Several Adani Group shares hit their lower circuits in early trade on Thursday after Gautam Adani was indicted in New York over his role in an alleged multibillion-dollar bribery and fraud scheme.

2.⁠ ⁠Concerns over weak Q2 earnings

Q2 earnings came out significantly weak. The July-September quarter numbers of the majority of companies disappointed markets.

Global cyclicals, such as oil and gas, along with metals, cement, chemicals, and consumers, weighed on earnings growth. Consumption has emerged as a weak spot, while select segments of BFSI are experiencing asset-quality stress. Weakness in government spending has also been one of the factors driving moderation in earnings.

3. Escalating geopolitical tensions

Fresh escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war has soured the market mood further. Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine on Tuesday, days after the US allowed Ukrainian use of longer-range missiles against Moscow.

4.⁠ ⁠Heavy foreign capital outflow
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have been relentlessly selling Indian equities, which has been among the key reasons behind the recent market downtrend.

According to NSDL data, FPIs sold Indian stocks worth ₹94,017 crore in October, and they sold stock for an additional ₹25,942 crore in November till the 19th.

5.⁠ ⁠Technical factors
Nifty 50 is trading below its 200-day moving average of 23,575. The market structure is weak and the 23,100-22,800 levels are crucial.

 

What is Muhurat Trading? Can We Buy Stocks During Muhurat Trading? Know the date, time and importance of this special trading session on Diwali

DIwali Muhurat Trading 2024 is coming up, so mark your calendars! On November 1, 2024, from 6:15 PM to 7:15 PM, there will be a special one-hour trading session. In a period typically linked to riches and success, this is a fortunate time to participate in the Indian equity market. Get your investment plan ready now to take full advantage of this important cultural trading event.

Muhurat Diwali Trading 2024
A special event known as muhurat trading takes place on the Indian stock exchanges on Laxmi Pujan, the day of Diwali. Taking place in the evening, this unique trading session lasts only one hour. For traders and investors, it offers a rare chance to engage in the market during a period considered favourable for investments.

Diwali is a festival that represents the triumph of good over evil and light over darkness. People typically invest in a variety of assets, such as stocks and mutual funds, during this joyous time. Many people think that investing now increases the likelihood of building wealth. Muhurat trading is a much-anticipated event, with the stock exchanges announcing the timetable each year.

Muhurat Trading date and time

The stock exchanges specify the time of Muhurat Trading for every year. Muhurat Trading session 2024 will be held on Friday, November 1. The special trading session will be held from 6:00 pm to 7:00 pm. The stock exchanges also conduct a 15-minute pre-open session starting 5:45 pm. The trades taking place during the special trading session are also settled on the same day.

Apart from normal trading session, other market session timings are as follows 

New Investments on Muhurat Trading’s Occasion: 

Muhurat trading is thought to be a great opportunity to invest. This is a great time to invest in the stock market if you’re thinking about doing so. The market is typically bullish during muhurat trading, which reflects the joyous celebration that emphasises wealth. During this session, blue-chip stocks—especially those in the Nifty 50—are frequently suggested for first-time investors. However, before investing in any firm, it is imperative to understand its basics. Things Traders Should Keep in Mind While muhurat trading is an exciting opportunity, it’s important to approach it with caution. The market can be volatile during this one-hour session, as all open positions will need to be settled.

 Here are a few key points to consider: 

1.Volatility: Markets often experience significant fluctuations during muhurat trading, so it’s vital to have a clear trading strategy. 

2.Market Holiday: Trading occurs on a market holiday for Laxmi Pujan, and all equity and derivatives segments will be open during this hour. 

3.High Trading Volume: Typically, trading volumes are high, driven by the festive mood, which can lead to quick price movements. 

4.Liquidity Considerations: Ensure there is sufficient volume in the stocks you are trading. Some stocks may experience low liquidity, making it challenging to enter or exit positions. 

5.Caution for New Traders: If you’re new to trading, it may be wise to observe rather than actively participate in muhurat trading due to its often unpredictable nature.

The high trading volumes and generally bullish sentiment make it an attractive period for investors. The festive atmosphere, focused on prosperity and wealth, tends to inspire optimism about the economy and the stock market.

As you prepare for this year’s muhurat trading, remember to research thoroughly and consider your investment goals. With the right strategy, you can seize the opportunities this auspicious trading session offers. Happy trading!

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Financials, Issue Details, Key Risks And More, All You Need To Know

Hyundai Motor India, the country’s second-largest carmaker, has finally made its debut in the Indian primary market with a massive IPO. The much-anticipated offering has garnered significant attention from investors, given the company’s strong brand presence, robust financials, and growth potential.

 

Key Highlights of the IPO:

 

Issue Size: The IPO is expected to raise a staggering ₹27,870.16 crore, making it one of the largest IPOs in India’s history.

Price Band: The price band for the IPO has been set at ₹1,865 to ₹1,960 per share.

Subscription Period: Investors can bid for the shares from October 15 to October 17, 2024.

Anchor Investors: The company has already secured ₹8,315.28 crore from 225 anchor investors, including prominent mutual funds and institutional investors.

Why Investors are Excited:

 

Strong Brand Value: Hyundai has built a reputation for quality, reliability, and innovation in the Indian automotive market.

Robust Financials: The company has consistently delivered impressive financial performance, driven by its diverse product portfolio and strong market share.

Growth Prospects: India’s booming automotive market presents significant growth opportunities for Hyundai, especially in segments like SUVs and electric vehicles.

Government Support: The Indian government’s focus on promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing dependence on imports is likely to benefit Hyundai.

Should You Invest?

 

While the Hyundai Motor India IPO offers a compelling investment opportunity, it’s essential to consider your risk tolerance and investment goals before making a decision. Investors should carefully analyze the company’s financials, market dynamics, and competitive landscape to assess the potential returns and risks associated with the IPO.

 

Stay Tuned for Updates

 

As the subscription period for the Hyundai Motor India IPO unfolds, we will continue to provide real-time updates on the subscription status, grey market premium (GMP), and expert opinions.

 

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Hong Kong stocks fall more than 6% as the Chinese rise falters as officials let the markets down.

Following a briefing from the National Development and Reform Commission of China that offered no information on more stimulus, the market rally in China lost momentum on Tuesday. 

After returning from the Golden Week holiday, mainland China’s CSI 300 soared almost 10% at the start of Tuesday. However, the index ultimately trimmed gains to a 5% increase. After a dramatic 10% decline, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recovered marginally to a 6.4% loss.

Tuesday saw a significant decline in other Asia-Pacific markets as investors watched Japan’s August wage and spending statistics. In real terms, household expenditure in Japan decreased 1.9% year over year in August, which was less than the 2.6% dip that experts surveyed by Reuters had predicted. The decline is occurring at the quickest rate since January, when it fell 6.3% annually. 

Additionally, that decrease occurred prior to the biggest pay increases for unionised Japanese workers in 33 years being granted during spring wage negotiations. But according to figures from the nation’s statistics agency, real salaries increased by 2% in August, reaching an average of 574,334 yen ($3,877.44).

The benchmark Nikkei 225 slipped 0.99% after the release, while the Topix was down 1.06%. South Korea’s Kospi was 0.72% lower, dragged by shares of heavyweight Samsung Electronics after it released worse than expected third quarter guidance. The small cap Kosdaq was down 0.31%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slipped marginally.

U.S. stocks fell overnight as market sentiment was affected by increased oil costs and higher Treasury yields. The S&P 500 fell 0.96%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.94%. With a 1.18% decline, the Nasdaq Composite suffered the most loss. For the first time since August, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield exceeded 4%, rising to 4.02%. Because of the ongoing high levels of tension in the Middle East, oil prices also increased. The price of U.S. crude rose over 3% to hover over $77 per barrel.

Why stock market is falling today? Sensex opens 1,200 points lower, Nifty 50 drops over 1%

The Indian stock market collapsed on Thursday, with the major indices, the Sensex and Nifty 50, opening more than 1% lower due to weak global signals and growing worries of a full-fledged conflict between Iran and Israel over geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The Nifty 50 opened 344.05 points, or 1.33%, lower at 25,452.85, while the Sensex fell 1,264.20 points, or 1.50%, to open at 83,002.09. In four sessions, the Nifty 50 has down 3%.

The new guidelines for trading derivatives by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and mixed cues from Asian and US stock markets during the course of the night also affected market mood.

The following five main causes of today’s stock market meltdown in India are:

Iran – Israel Conflict
After Iran launched a volley of almost 200 missiles towards Israel on October 1 in revenge for the assassination of Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah, tensions in the Middle East increased. With Tehran threatening to launch a more powerful attack if it is targeted, Israel has pledged to make Iran “pay” for the attack on its territory. Israel also declared that it had started small-scale land operations in Lebanon to attack the Hezbollah group, which is supported by Iran.

According to the most recent information, an Israeli attack on a medical facility in the heart of Beirut resulted in at least six fatalities and seven injuries, according to the Guardian.

SEBI F&O Regulations
The equity derivatives trading regulations were tightened by market regulator Sebi, which increased the entry barrier and increased the cost of trading in the asset class. Sebi published a number of new criteria in its most recent circular, including a nearly three-fold increase in the minimum trading amount and a limit on the number of weekly options contracts that can be traded on any given exchange.

The CEO and fund manager of Whitespace Alpha, Puneet Sharma, thinks that although these barriers can increase market resiliency, they also present difficulties.

According to him, the issue now is for market participants to conform with these higher compliance criteria while attempting to sustain innovation and growth.

Crude Oil Prices
Crude oil prices traded higher as worries of a further escalation in the Middle East deepened, fuelling anxieties that oil supplies from the world’s largest producing region may be jeopardised if the conflict develops. An increase in the price of oil is detrimental to countries that import the commodity, such as India, since crude accounts for a large portion of the import cost.

US West Texas Intermediate crude prices increased 1.03% to $70.82 a barrel, while Brent crude futures up 0.87% to $74.54 a barrel.

FII Selling
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) extended their selling as they sold equities worth ₹5,579.35 crore on October 1, while domestic institutional investors extended their purchasing as they bought equities worth ₹4,609.55 crore on the same day.

Technicals
The Nifty 50 broke through the 25,700 and 25,500 downward support levels.

“A break below these levels could trigger additional selling of 300 – 500 points. Traders with long positions are advised to book profits near resistance zones and wait for dips to re-enter buying positions,” said Hardik Matalia, Derivative Analyst at Choice Broking.

SEBI Meeting Highlights: No changes to index-derivatives rules, MF Lite framework for passive funds announced- all decisions explained

The Securities and Exchange Board of India adopted several revisions on Monday that will make it easier for mutual funds to offer passively managed schemes, streamline regulatory compliance, and establish a new asset class.

SEBI Board’s Key Decisions:

  • Investors can now trade utilising the ASBA-like UPI block system or the 3-in-1 trading facility in addition to the currently available methods.
  • Qualified stock brokers must offer one of these two options. Eventually, trading under the optional T+0 settlement will be available for the top 500 scrips in terms of market capitalisation, beginning with the top 25. Investors can use any regulated broker to opt into the T+0 settlement cycle.
  • A new regulatory framework was implemented for a new class of asset or investment product.Introduction of the Mutual Funds Lite framework for programs with passive management.
  • SEBI will no longer accept documents that have been notarised or gazetted officer certified in favour of self-attestation.
 

Stock Market Investors Alert! New Charges, STT Hike & More – Check Key Changes Starting Oct 1

New Delhi: A number of significant developments that will take effect on October 1, 2024, should be noted by investors as the Indian markets continue their recent bull run. The Securities Transaction Tax (STT) has increased, stock exchange transaction fees have been amended, and new share buyback taxation regulations have been implemented. Below is a summary of the changes that will take effect on tomorrow.

Revised Transaction Charges for NSE and BSE
The transaction fees for the cash and futures and options (F&O) divisions have been revised, according to announcements made by the stock exchanges BSE and NSE. These adjustments are in response to SEBI’s instruction to all market infrastructure organisations to adopt a single, flat charge structure.

Transaction fees for Sensex and Bankex equities derivatives options contracts on the BSE would be Rs 3,250 for each crore of premium turnover. Other equity derivative contracts continue to have the same fees.
The transaction charge for the cash market has been established by the NSE at Rs 2.97 per lakh of traded value. The cost will be Rs 1.73 per lakh of traded value for equities futures and Rs 35.03 per lakh of premium value for equity options.
The currency derivatives segment charges Rs 0.35 per lakh of traded value for futures and Rs 31.10 per lakh of premium value for options, including interest rate options.

Hike in STT
The STT increase for trading in futures and options was announced earlier this year by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, and it will likewise take effect on October 1.
– The STT for futures trading has increased from 0.0125 percent to 0.02 percent. The STT for trading options will increase to 0.1%.

New Buyback Taxation

Share buyback revenue will be subject to shareholder taxation, much like dividend income, as of October 1. This indicates that the tax will be levied in accordance with the applicable income tax slab of the taxpayer.

 

Nifty down 200 points at 26,500, Sensex down 700 points, and Financials down 1%

The BSE Sensex and Nifty 50, two benchmark Indian market indices, were trading down on Monday after beginning lower.

The Nifty 50 was at 25,985, down 193 points, or 0.74 percent, at 10 AM, while the BSE Sensex was at 84,850, down 721 points, or 0.84 percent.

Around opening bell, the BSE Sensex had more than half of its stocks in red. NTPC, Tata Steel, JSW Steel, Titan, and Bajaj Finance topped the gains, while the top losers were Tech Mahindra, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Mahindra & Mahindra, and TCS.

Of the 50 stocks on the Nifty 50, 28 were in the red. Hero MotoCorp, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, ICICI Bank, and Mahindra & Mahindra led the losses, while the top laggards were Tata Steel, BPCL, NTPC, Hindalco, and JSW Steel.

The Nifty Metal was the biggest gainer overall, up 1.41 percent, ahead of Consumer Durables and Oil & Gas.

The biggest drag, on the other hand, was the Nifty Realty, which fell 1.12%. IT and Auto, on the other hand, fell 0.95 and 0.80 percent, respectively.

 The BSE MidCap was down 0.43 percent and the BSE SmallCap was down 0.46 percent, reflecting the bearishness of the broader markets.The main Indian market indices, the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50, had risen to new all-time highs on Friday but have since pulled back, ending the final trading day of the week in negative territory.

After hitting a record high of 85,978.25 earlier in the day, the BSE Sensex finished at 85,571.85, down 264 points, or 0.31 percent, at the closing. The Nifty 50 also reached a record high of 26,277.35, but it closed the day at 26,178.95, down 37.13 points, or 0.14 percent. 

The Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100, two of the larger indices, also experienced losses of 0.15 percent and 0.10 percent, respectively.

Sectoral indices that ended the day lower than 1% overall included Bank Nifty, Media, Nifty Private Bank, and Realty.

The Nifty Oil & Gas index, on the other hand, increased by 2.37 percent, with gains of up to 1.15 percent recorded in industries like PSU Bank, Pharma, Metal, and IT.Aside from that, Monday’s Asian stock markets saw a majority of gains following China’s announcement of additional stimulus measures; nevertheless, the Nikkei fell due to worries that Japan’s incoming prime minister will support normalising interest rates.

Even with the risk of additional supply driving down oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty was added by the ongoing Israeli strikes throughout Lebanon.

There is a tonne of important US economic data this week, including a payrolls report that might determine whether the Federal Reserve raises rates again.

 As investors awaited further guidance from recently appointed Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who has previously criticised the Bank of Japan’s loose policies, the Nikkei led the early action with a 4.0 percent decline.

Over the weekend, though, he seemed more accommodating, stating that given the status of the economy, monetary policy “must remain accommodative”.
As a result, the dollar gained 0.5% to 142.85 yen, recovering from its 1.8% decline on Friday from its peak of 146.49. In China, the central bank said that by the end of October, banks will be required to reduce mortgage rates for current house loans, most likely by 50 basis points on average.

That comes after a flurry of fiscal, monetary, and liquidity support measures that were revealed last

The previous week saw a 13% increase in Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index and a roughly 16% gain in the blue-chip CSI300 and Shanghai Composite indices, respectively.

After rising 6.1% last week to a seven-month high, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside of Japan firmed by 0.2% on Monday.

A strong reading on core US inflation on Friday, which opened the door for another half-point rate decrease by the Fed, contributed to Wall Street’s explosive week as well.

Although there is still a significant uncertainty surrounding the presidential election two days prior, futures show to a roughly 53% possibility that the Fed will ease by 50 basis points on November 7.

This week, a number of Fed speakers will talk, with Chair Jerome Powell leading the group later on Monday. ISM surveys on manufacturing and services, as well as data on job vacancies and private hiring, are also due.
 
On Monday, S&P 500 futures saw a 0.1% increase, while Nasdaq futures saw a 0.2% increase. With a 20 percent year-to-date gain, the S&P 500 index is headed for its best January–September performance since 1997.

The dollar index decreased by 0.3% last week, while it was steady at 100.41 in the currency markets.

This week, the euro zone provides data on unemployment, producer prices, and inflation. Later on Monday, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to address parliament, and there will also be German inflation and retail sales data.

Lower bond yields and a weaker currency helped gold to all-time highs of $2,685 an ounce. It was headed for its best quarter since 2016 when it was last trading at $2,664 an ounce.

As worries over a potential boost in Saudi Arabian supplies offset Middle East tensions, oil prices fluctuated.

US crude increased 3 cents to $68.21 a barrel, while Brent lost 1 cent to $71.86.

Stocks to Watch: KEC, PC Jeweller, NBCC, NHPC, MCX India, HDFC Life, and more

Here’s a brief look at the stocks that could be the focus of today’s trading.

KEC International: KEC International, a leading engineering and construction company, has launched a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) to raise 4,500 crore by selling equity shares. QIP has set a floor price of ₹976.64 per share; however, the business may allow a reduction of up to 5%. This comes after a special resolution approved at the company’s AGM on August 22, 2024, and board approval on July 26, 2024.

PC Jewellers: The Board of Directors of Multibagger Stock PC Jewellers will meet on September 30, 2024, to debate the subdivision of shares, marking the company’s first-ever stock split. At now, the face value of each equity share is ₹10. It is anticipated that the firm would provide further information regarding the split at the meeting.

NBCCThe Supreme Court will take up NBCC’s proposal to finish 17 Supertech Limited projects that have stalled in a significant judgement that might benefit 27,000 homebuyers. This reminds me of an earlier intervention of a similar nature with the Amrapali Group, which was to provide assistance to homeowners who were stranded in unfinished properties.

MCX: With effect from October 1, 2024, Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) has modified its transaction costs for contracts involving futures and options. Fees: ₹2.1 per lakh of turnover value will be charged for futures contracts, and ₹41.8 per lakh of premium turnover value will be charged for options contracts.

NHPCNHPC Ltd, a state-run hydropower company, is expected to raise more than 2,300 crore in the current fiscal year, surpassing its initial goal of 2,000 crore. This action promotes the growth objectives of NHPC and is in line with the Union government’s monetisation aims. In order to do this, the business intends to securitise the return on equity from its Jammu and Kashmir-based Dulhasti Power Station for the following eight years. The project will remain entirely owned by NHPC in spite of this financing arrangement.

HDFC Life Insurance: On September 27, 2024, HDFC Life Insurance’s board will convene to finalise the commercial conditions for the issuance of non-convertible debentures (NCDs). Prior to July 2024, the business had authorised raising up to ₹2,000 crore through NCDs, which would be distributed in several tranches through private placement.

Delta Corp: The demerger of Delta Corp’s real estate and hospitality businesses through a Composite Scheme of Arrangement has been authorised. The merging company will now function as Delta Penland, a recently established subsidiary. The share entitlement ratio states that for each equity share held in Delta Corp, qualified shareholders will get one new equity share in Delta Penland.

Easy Trip Planners:

Easy Trip Planners’ promoter Nishant Pitti is anticipated to use block transactions to sell up to 8.5% of his ownership interest in the business. At an indicative price of ₹41.5 per share, the anticipated block size is ₹622 crore. Pitti owned a 28.13% share in the travel tech platform as of the June quarter.

Car Trade Tech : Recently, Highdell Investment, controlled by Warburg Pincus, sold its 8.64% share in CarTrade Tech for a price over ₹375 crore. A considerable change in ownership has occurred with the acquisition of a 6.4% share in the business by Mirae Asset Mutual Fund.


JSW Group: The JSW Group, owned by Sajjan Jindal, has declared that it will not be moving its ₹40,000 crore project to manufacture batteries and electric vehicles (EVs) from Odisha to Maharashtra. In a press release on Tuesday, the business denied previous rumours that it might relocate to Aurangabad or Nagpur. To begin the project in Cuttack and Paradip, JSW first signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Odisha government in February. The corporation reiterated its commitment to the Odisha locations for the project in spite of rumours of a transfer.


The Sensex and Nifty 50 hit all-time highs after the FOMC, led by Powell, dropped interest rates by 50 basis points.

Following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US Federal Reserve announced its sixth policy decision for 2024 on September 18. The Fed cut the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points (bps), or ½ of a percentage point, to 4.75 percent to 5 percent for the first time in four years, largely in line with Wall Street estimates.

 In order to reach a range of 2.75 percent to 3.00 percent, US Fed policymakers anticipate that the benchmark interest rate would drop by an additional half-point (50 bps) by the end of this year, another full percentage point in 2025, and a final half-point in 2026. One tenth (1/100) of a percentage point is equivalent to one bps.

From a peak of 9.1% in mid-2022 to a three-year low of 2.5% in August—just beyond the US Federal Reserve’s two percent target—US inflation has plummeted. US Federal Reserve officials have been concentrating on helping a contracting labour market and accomplishing a unique “soft landing,” which lowers inflation without precipitously slowing down the economy, as a result of inflation only marginally exceeding their goal level. 

The rate-setting panel headed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell unanimously decided to maintain the policy rate at the 23-year high, between 5.25 and 5.50 percent, at its previous meeting. In an effort to reduce inflation in the greatest economy in the world, the US central bank kept borrowing rates constant for a record 14 months running.

The central bank has kept the policy rate on hold since July 2023 in order to anchor in high inflation and steadily lower it towards the two percent target range. The central bank raised the rate by 5.25 percentage points since March 2022, one of the fastest Fed responses to counter the worst inflation outbreak in 40 years.