Nifty scales above 24,750; private bank share rally

At 14:30 IST, the barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, surged 1,033.18 points or 1.26% to 81,983.27. The Nifty 50 index jumped 286.30 points or 1.17% to 24,753.75.

The broader market underperformed the benchmark indices, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.19% and the S&P BSE Small-Cap index added 0.26%.

The market breadth was positive. On the BSE, 2,153 shares rose and 1,763 shares fell. A total of 126 shares were unchanged.

Buzzing Index:

The Nifty Private Bank index gained 0.99% to 26,034.20. The index rallied 3.16% in five consecutive trading sessions.

Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 1.29%), RBL Bank (up 0.93%), Axis Bank (up 0.91%), ICICI Bank (up 0.83%), City Union Bank (up 0.55%) HDFC Bank (up 0.37%) and IDFC First Bank (up 0.15%) advanced.

On the other hand, Federal Bank (down 0.19%), Bandhan Bank (down 0.15%) and IndusInd Bank (down 0.04%) edged lower.

Numbers to Track:

The yield on India’s 10-year benchmark federal paper rose 0.04% to 6.797 as compared with the previous close of 6.794.

In the foreign exchange market, the rupee edged higher against the dollar. The partially convertible rupee was hovering at 84.7225, compared with its close of 84.7500 during the previous trading session.

MCX Gold futures for the 5 December 2024 settlement gained 0.16% to Rs 76,168.

The US Dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback’s value against a basket of currencies, was down 0.23% to 106.07.

The United States 10-year bond yield added 0.50% to 4.203.

In the commodities market, Brent crude for the February 2024 settlement gained 23 cents or 0.32% to $72.54 a barrel.

 

Here are the key factors fuelling this rally!

The bulls made a strong comeback on the Street, with the benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex surging nearly 2 percent each, propelling investor wealth by a staggering Rs 8.5 lakh crore in just one day. A confluence of factors—including the positive outcome of the Maharashtra elections, encouraging signals from Asian and US markets, and a welcome dip in foreign outflows—sparked widespread buying across the bourses.

Short Covering:

A significant feature of the Friday rally of 557 points on the Nifty was the sharp spurts in many large cap stocks with some shooting up by more than 4 percent. This clearly indicates a short covering, which will keep the market resilient today.

PSU Comeback:

The sharp rally in PSU stocks follows the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance’s triumphant victory in the Maharashtra Assembly elections. Shares of PFC, IRFC, BEL, Central Bank of India, RVNL, Bharat Dynamics, NBCC (India), GAIL, Concor Corporation of India, and SAIL, among others, surged in the range of 3-8 percent in an overall strong market.

Given the remarkable rise in the past year, PSU stocks have been at the receiving end for a host of reasons such as expensive valuations and softer-than-expected elections outcome. As early as last week, the share of public sector companies (PSUs) in India’s total stock market capitalisation declined to an 11-month low in November amid sharp corrections. In November, PSU firms accounted for 15.34 percent of India’s total market capitalisation — the lowest since December 2023

PSU Comeback: The sharp rally in PSU stocks follows the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance’s triumphant victory in the Maharashtra Assembly elections. Shares of PFC, IRFC, BEL, Central Bank of India, RVNL, Bharat Dynamics, NBCC (India), GAIL, Concor Corporation of India, and SAIL, among others, surged in the range of 3-8 percent in an overall strong market.

Given the remarkable rise in the past year, PSU stocks have been at the receiving end for a host of reasons such as expensive valuations and softer-than-expected elections outcome. As early as last week, the share of public sector companies (PSUs) in India’s total stock market capitalisation declined to an 11-month low in November amid sharp corrections. In November, PSU firms accounted for 15.34 percent of India’s total market capitalisation — the lowest since December 2023.

Capex push:

With the elections over and the BJP gaining huge support from the results in Haryana and Maharashtra, the government will shift its focus to increasing spending.

These poll results, coupled with a strong monsoon-driven recovery in rural spending and expected strong kharif output, should slightly improve the demand outlook. Corporate earnings are expected to pick up modestly in the second half of FY25, with BFSI, capital goods and real estate being their preferred sectors.

 

 

Here are top the factors behind today’s rally

The Indian stock market has experienced a significant jump today, with various factors contributing to this upward trend. Here are some of the key reasons:

1) Rally in IT stocks

 

The Nifty IT index jumped nearly 2%, driven by strong US labour market data. Initial jobless claims in the US dropped by 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 2,13,000 for the week ending November 16, the lowest in seven months. This indicates that US job growth likely rebounded in November following a slowdown in October due to hurricanes and strikes.

2) Rebound in Adani stocks

 

Adani Group stocks recovered from early losses and rose up to 6% in midday trade on Friday. Ambuja Cement led the rally with a 6% jump, followed by ACC, which gained nearly 4%.

3) Buying the dip

 

Today’s rally in the equity markets also comes as investors capitalize on recent declines, with the Nifty index down over 11% from its recent peak. The mid-cap and small-cap indices have also corrected by around 12% and 9%, respectively.

As market sentiment shifts, buyers are seizing the opportunity presented by lower valuations, reflecting confidence in the long-term recovery potential of these segments

4) Global Markets

Indian equity indices surged, following the upward movement in global markets.

5) Rise in PSU bank stocks

 

Public sector bank stocks also contributed to today’s rally. Heavyweights like State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, and Punjab National Bank led the recovery as investor confidence returned following Thursday’s sell-off.

The Nifty PSU Bank Index rose nearly 3%, reaching 6,509.2, reversing the losses from the previous session

5 key factors driven the market down

 Both key indices had clocked modest gains in the previous session on Tuesday. However, they resumed their downward march on Thursday on lingering concerns over weak earnings, geopolitical tensions, and stretched valuation. The US indictment of Adani Group Chairman Gautam Adani and other senior executives on bribery charges dealt a fresh blow to sentiment.

Let’s take a look at the key factors behind the market selloff.

1.⁠ ⁠The Adani saga

Several Adani Group shares hit their lower circuits in early trade on Thursday after Gautam Adani was indicted in New York over his role in an alleged multibillion-dollar bribery and fraud scheme.

2.⁠ ⁠Concerns over weak Q2 earnings

Q2 earnings came out significantly weak. The July-September quarter numbers of the majority of companies disappointed markets.

Global cyclicals, such as oil and gas, along with metals, cement, chemicals, and consumers, weighed on earnings growth. Consumption has emerged as a weak spot, while select segments of BFSI are experiencing asset-quality stress. Weakness in government spending has also been one of the factors driving moderation in earnings.

3. Escalating geopolitical tensions

Fresh escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war has soured the market mood further. Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine on Tuesday, days after the US allowed Ukrainian use of longer-range missiles against Moscow.

4.⁠ ⁠Heavy foreign capital outflow
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have been relentlessly selling Indian equities, which has been among the key reasons behind the recent market downtrend.

According to NSDL data, FPIs sold Indian stocks worth ₹94,017 crore in October, and they sold stock for an additional ₹25,942 crore in November till the 19th.

5.⁠ ⁠Technical factors
Nifty 50 is trading below its 200-day moving average of 23,575. The market structure is weak and the 23,100-22,800 levels are crucial.

 

What is Muhurat Trading? Can We Buy Stocks During Muhurat Trading? Know the date, time and importance of this special trading session on Diwali

DIwali Muhurat Trading 2024 is coming up, so mark your calendars! On November 1, 2024, from 6:15 PM to 7:15 PM, there will be a special one-hour trading session. In a period typically linked to riches and success, this is a fortunate time to participate in the Indian equity market. Get your investment plan ready now to take full advantage of this important cultural trading event.

Muhurat Diwali Trading 2024
A special event known as muhurat trading takes place on the Indian stock exchanges on Laxmi Pujan, the day of Diwali. Taking place in the evening, this unique trading session lasts only one hour. For traders and investors, it offers a rare chance to engage in the market during a period considered favourable for investments.

Diwali is a festival that represents the triumph of good over evil and light over darkness. People typically invest in a variety of assets, such as stocks and mutual funds, during this joyous time. Many people think that investing now increases the likelihood of building wealth. Muhurat trading is a much-anticipated event, with the stock exchanges announcing the timetable each year.

Muhurat Trading date and time

The stock exchanges specify the time of Muhurat Trading for every year. Muhurat Trading session 2024 will be held on Friday, November 1. The special trading session will be held from 6:00 pm to 7:00 pm. The stock exchanges also conduct a 15-minute pre-open session starting 5:45 pm. The trades taking place during the special trading session are also settled on the same day.

Apart from normal trading session, other market session timings are as follows 

New Investments on Muhurat Trading’s Occasion: 

Muhurat trading is thought to be a great opportunity to invest. This is a great time to invest in the stock market if you’re thinking about doing so. The market is typically bullish during muhurat trading, which reflects the joyous celebration that emphasises wealth. During this session, blue-chip stocks—especially those in the Nifty 50—are frequently suggested for first-time investors. However, before investing in any firm, it is imperative to understand its basics. Things Traders Should Keep in Mind While muhurat trading is an exciting opportunity, it’s important to approach it with caution. The market can be volatile during this one-hour session, as all open positions will need to be settled.

 Here are a few key points to consider: 

1.Volatility: Markets often experience significant fluctuations during muhurat trading, so it’s vital to have a clear trading strategy. 

2.Market Holiday: Trading occurs on a market holiday for Laxmi Pujan, and all equity and derivatives segments will be open during this hour. 

3.High Trading Volume: Typically, trading volumes are high, driven by the festive mood, which can lead to quick price movements. 

4.Liquidity Considerations: Ensure there is sufficient volume in the stocks you are trading. Some stocks may experience low liquidity, making it challenging to enter or exit positions. 

5.Caution for New Traders: If you’re new to trading, it may be wise to observe rather than actively participate in muhurat trading due to its often unpredictable nature.

The high trading volumes and generally bullish sentiment make it an attractive period for investors. The festive atmosphere, focused on prosperity and wealth, tends to inspire optimism about the economy and the stock market.

As you prepare for this year’s muhurat trading, remember to research thoroughly and consider your investment goals. With the right strategy, you can seize the opportunities this auspicious trading session offers. Happy trading!

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Financials, Issue Details, Key Risks And More, All You Need To Know

Hyundai Motor India, the country’s second-largest carmaker, has finally made its debut in the Indian primary market with a massive IPO. The much-anticipated offering has garnered significant attention from investors, given the company’s strong brand presence, robust financials, and growth potential.

 

Key Highlights of the IPO:

 

Issue Size: The IPO is expected to raise a staggering ₹27,870.16 crore, making it one of the largest IPOs in India’s history.

Price Band: The price band for the IPO has been set at ₹1,865 to ₹1,960 per share.

Subscription Period: Investors can bid for the shares from October 15 to October 17, 2024.

Anchor Investors: The company has already secured ₹8,315.28 crore from 225 anchor investors, including prominent mutual funds and institutional investors.

Why Investors are Excited:

 

Strong Brand Value: Hyundai has built a reputation for quality, reliability, and innovation in the Indian automotive market.

Robust Financials: The company has consistently delivered impressive financial performance, driven by its diverse product portfolio and strong market share.

Growth Prospects: India’s booming automotive market presents significant growth opportunities for Hyundai, especially in segments like SUVs and electric vehicles.

Government Support: The Indian government’s focus on promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing dependence on imports is likely to benefit Hyundai.

Should You Invest?

 

While the Hyundai Motor India IPO offers a compelling investment opportunity, it’s essential to consider your risk tolerance and investment goals before making a decision. Investors should carefully analyze the company’s financials, market dynamics, and competitive landscape to assess the potential returns and risks associated with the IPO.

 

Stay Tuned for Updates

 

As the subscription period for the Hyundai Motor India IPO unfolds, we will continue to provide real-time updates on the subscription status, grey market premium (GMP), and expert opinions.

 

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Hong Kong stocks fall more than 6% as the Chinese rise falters as officials let the markets down.

Following a briefing from the National Development and Reform Commission of China that offered no information on more stimulus, the market rally in China lost momentum on Tuesday. 

After returning from the Golden Week holiday, mainland China’s CSI 300 soared almost 10% at the start of Tuesday. However, the index ultimately trimmed gains to a 5% increase. After a dramatic 10% decline, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recovered marginally to a 6.4% loss.

Tuesday saw a significant decline in other Asia-Pacific markets as investors watched Japan’s August wage and spending statistics. In real terms, household expenditure in Japan decreased 1.9% year over year in August, which was less than the 2.6% dip that experts surveyed by Reuters had predicted. The decline is occurring at the quickest rate since January, when it fell 6.3% annually. 

Additionally, that decrease occurred prior to the biggest pay increases for unionised Japanese workers in 33 years being granted during spring wage negotiations. But according to figures from the nation’s statistics agency, real salaries increased by 2% in August, reaching an average of 574,334 yen ($3,877.44).

The benchmark Nikkei 225 slipped 0.99% after the release, while the Topix was down 1.06%. South Korea’s Kospi was 0.72% lower, dragged by shares of heavyweight Samsung Electronics after it released worse than expected third quarter guidance. The small cap Kosdaq was down 0.31%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slipped marginally.

U.S. stocks fell overnight as market sentiment was affected by increased oil costs and higher Treasury yields. The S&P 500 fell 0.96%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.94%. With a 1.18% decline, the Nasdaq Composite suffered the most loss. For the first time since August, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield exceeded 4%, rising to 4.02%. Because of the ongoing high levels of tension in the Middle East, oil prices also increased. The price of U.S. crude rose over 3% to hover over $77 per barrel.

Why stock market is falling today? Sensex opens 1,200 points lower, Nifty 50 drops over 1%

The Indian stock market collapsed on Thursday, with the major indices, the Sensex and Nifty 50, opening more than 1% lower due to weak global signals and growing worries of a full-fledged conflict between Iran and Israel over geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The Nifty 50 opened 344.05 points, or 1.33%, lower at 25,452.85, while the Sensex fell 1,264.20 points, or 1.50%, to open at 83,002.09. In four sessions, the Nifty 50 has down 3%.

The new guidelines for trading derivatives by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and mixed cues from Asian and US stock markets during the course of the night also affected market mood.

The following five main causes of today’s stock market meltdown in India are:

Iran – Israel Conflict
After Iran launched a volley of almost 200 missiles towards Israel on October 1 in revenge for the assassination of Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah, tensions in the Middle East increased. With Tehran threatening to launch a more powerful attack if it is targeted, Israel has pledged to make Iran “pay” for the attack on its territory. Israel also declared that it had started small-scale land operations in Lebanon to attack the Hezbollah group, which is supported by Iran.

According to the most recent information, an Israeli attack on a medical facility in the heart of Beirut resulted in at least six fatalities and seven injuries, according to the Guardian.

SEBI F&O Regulations
The equity derivatives trading regulations were tightened by market regulator Sebi, which increased the entry barrier and increased the cost of trading in the asset class. Sebi published a number of new criteria in its most recent circular, including a nearly three-fold increase in the minimum trading amount and a limit on the number of weekly options contracts that can be traded on any given exchange.

The CEO and fund manager of Whitespace Alpha, Puneet Sharma, thinks that although these barriers can increase market resiliency, they also present difficulties.

According to him, the issue now is for market participants to conform with these higher compliance criteria while attempting to sustain innovation and growth.

Crude Oil Prices
Crude oil prices traded higher as worries of a further escalation in the Middle East deepened, fuelling anxieties that oil supplies from the world’s largest producing region may be jeopardised if the conflict develops. An increase in the price of oil is detrimental to countries that import the commodity, such as India, since crude accounts for a large portion of the import cost.

US West Texas Intermediate crude prices increased 1.03% to $70.82 a barrel, while Brent crude futures up 0.87% to $74.54 a barrel.

FII Selling
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) extended their selling as they sold equities worth ₹5,579.35 crore on October 1, while domestic institutional investors extended their purchasing as they bought equities worth ₹4,609.55 crore on the same day.

Technicals
The Nifty 50 broke through the 25,700 and 25,500 downward support levels.

“A break below these levels could trigger additional selling of 300 – 500 points. Traders with long positions are advised to book profits near resistance zones and wait for dips to re-enter buying positions,” said Hardik Matalia, Derivative Analyst at Choice Broking.

SEBI Meeting Highlights: No changes to index-derivatives rules, MF Lite framework for passive funds announced- all decisions explained

The Securities and Exchange Board of India adopted several revisions on Monday that will make it easier for mutual funds to offer passively managed schemes, streamline regulatory compliance, and establish a new asset class.

SEBI Board’s Key Decisions:

  • Investors can now trade utilising the ASBA-like UPI block system or the 3-in-1 trading facility in addition to the currently available methods.
  • Qualified stock brokers must offer one of these two options. Eventually, trading under the optional T+0 settlement will be available for the top 500 scrips in terms of market capitalisation, beginning with the top 25. Investors can use any regulated broker to opt into the T+0 settlement cycle.
  • A new regulatory framework was implemented for a new class of asset or investment product.Introduction of the Mutual Funds Lite framework for programs with passive management.
  • SEBI will no longer accept documents that have been notarised or gazetted officer certified in favour of self-attestation.
 

Stock Market Investors Alert! New Charges, STT Hike & More – Check Key Changes Starting Oct 1

New Delhi: A number of significant developments that will take effect on October 1, 2024, should be noted by investors as the Indian markets continue their recent bull run. The Securities Transaction Tax (STT) has increased, stock exchange transaction fees have been amended, and new share buyback taxation regulations have been implemented. Below is a summary of the changes that will take effect on tomorrow.

Revised Transaction Charges for NSE and BSE
The transaction fees for the cash and futures and options (F&O) divisions have been revised, according to announcements made by the stock exchanges BSE and NSE. These adjustments are in response to SEBI’s instruction to all market infrastructure organisations to adopt a single, flat charge structure.

Transaction fees for Sensex and Bankex equities derivatives options contracts on the BSE would be Rs 3,250 for each crore of premium turnover. Other equity derivative contracts continue to have the same fees.
The transaction charge for the cash market has been established by the NSE at Rs 2.97 per lakh of traded value. The cost will be Rs 1.73 per lakh of traded value for equities futures and Rs 35.03 per lakh of premium value for equity options.
The currency derivatives segment charges Rs 0.35 per lakh of traded value for futures and Rs 31.10 per lakh of premium value for options, including interest rate options.

Hike in STT
The STT increase for trading in futures and options was announced earlier this year by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, and it will likewise take effect on October 1.
– The STT for futures trading has increased from 0.0125 percent to 0.02 percent. The STT for trading options will increase to 0.1%.

New Buyback Taxation

Share buyback revenue will be subject to shareholder taxation, much like dividend income, as of October 1. This indicates that the tax will be levied in accordance with the applicable income tax slab of the taxpayer.